Wednesday, 11 January 2012


The New Hampshire Republican 2012 Primary is all over! Mitt Romney convincingly won the primary. It was a credible but expected win, as he won by over 40,000 votes or 16% from his nearest rival, Ron Paul.

Romney - 95,669 - 39%
Paul - 55,455 - 23%
Huntsman - 40,903 - 17%
Gingrich - 22,921 - 9%
Santorum - 22,708 - 9%
Perry - 1,709 - 1%

Jon Huntsman finished in third place with 17% of the vote which was really a poor showing for the former Utah Governor. I really don't know what his game plan is for the rest of the primaries.
He invested all of his time in the 'granite-state' but still significantly finished below Ron Paul. He has lacked ideas, enthusiasm and is languishing in most polls in South Carolina.

What is also very telling was there being zero momentum, whatsoever, for Santorum after his Iowa result. If he increased his vote by 10% you would be certain hat there was a real surge but frankly he did nothing in New Hampshire.
His moment is now in South Carolina where he is currently polling at 20% and with 10 days until that primary with some good debate performances and killer advertising, he will hope to see his numbers rise.

The real conundrum is Newt Gingrich. He hasn’t managed to recreate that December ‘spark’ and is deteriorating fast in every poll
being conducted. Frankly, he was lynched by SuperPAC’s (officially known as "independent-expenditure only committees," which can raise unlimited sums from corporations, unions and other groups, as well as individuals.) for Romney and to a lesser extent Ron Paul. They plastered adverts depicting Gingrich as this 'crony capitalist', 'shady lobbyist' who took money from failed institutions and has way to much 'baggage' to be the nominee. Gingrich has cried foul but the fact is, 'the mud has stuck' and he has been atrocious at handling these attacks.
Essentially, he is now turning into a political suicide bomber! He is now not interested in winning the ‘battlefield of ideas’ but rather destroy Mitt Romney in the coming weeks, regardless of the outcome.

Why is he doing this? Simply for sake of revenge.

This move has resulted in his polling to crater. Since the 17th December 2011, he has dropped an astounding 21.3% in South Carolina and 18% in Florida (these states are considered to be more Conservative). He has to arrest this slide otherwise his campaign will fold. He needs to refocus on his campaign and sell his economic plan to the nation. He must challenge Romney and these adverts face on. What we have learned in the past few days is that Casino mogul Sheldon Adelson has given $5 million to the Gingrich campaign and folks believe that money will be used to “destroy” Mitt Romney in the lead up to South Carolina. Gingrich has to decide what he wants to do, win based on ideas or look to destroy Romney. If he decides the latter he will become a fringe candidate as the electorate are more interested in beating Obama than settling scores. If Gingrich isn’t able to take the heat from Romney and launch and effective counter strategy that will gain votes, then how is he going to face of against Obama and his $1,000,000,000 machine?

Romney has an issue coming onto his radar. A few days before New Hampshire, ads were running about his time at Bain Capital
Founded in 1984 as an offshoot of the Bain consulting company, Bain Capital's business is a combination of private equity and venture capital.
Candidates are asking Romney about what risks that company took when he was CEO, how much profit did he make from individual companies during his tenure and how many people lost their jobs through restructuring.
This issue was bound to come out, whether now or in the general election. What Romney needs to do is the exact opposite what Obama did with his Birth Certificate.
He should publish every tax return including every document relating to his time at Bain Capital. If there is nothing to hide, why create unnecessary bad press? There was no reason for Obama to withhold his birth certificate and by doing so, that created a media firestorm which made him look bad.
I am sure that Romney would’ve been asking that Obama be transparent then, he should be practising what he preached now. If he brings it out in the open and it showed that he did nothing wrong, or he is able to explain in detail issues surrounding certain losses then it will become a non-story and folks will move on. Until that happens, Gingrich, Perry, Paul & Santorum will be playing this to death. If Romney doesn’t act appropriately, his numbers in South Carolina, Florida and beyond may suffer.

There will be the following debates in the lead up to the South Carolina primary on January 21st 2012!

January 14, 2012 Huckabee Forum 2: South Carolina Undecided
8pm ET on Fox News (taped broadcast)
Location: Sottile Theatre at the College of Charleston, South Carolina
Sponsor: Former Arkansas Governor Mike Huckabee, Congressman Tim Scott (R-SC) and Fox News
Participants: Romney, Perry, Gingrich, Santorum, Paul, Huntsman (Unofficial list)

January 16, 2012 9pm ET on Fox News
Location: Myrtle Beach Convention Center in Myrtle Beach, South Carolina
Sponsor: Fox News and the South Carolina Republican Party
Participants: TBD

January 19, 2012 Air time TBD on CNN
Location: Charleston, SC
Sponsor: CNN and the Southern Republican Leadership Conference
Participants: TBD

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