Wednesday, 6 April 2011
Many people say that this is Obama's election for the taking. If you look at all of the potential contenders from the GOP's perspective it does seem like they don't garner much excitement.
Pundits from MSNBC, ABC News, Juan Williams and other bleeding heart liberals fervently believe that since no viable ‘GOPite’ has come to the forefront already, it has to be because they're ‘scared of Obama’. They believe that Obama is sooo popular and still earns the support of the entire nation that there really isn't any point in running against him.
I prefer to be the optimistic one here and have a certain school of thought here.
I believe that the likes of Gingrich, Romney, Pawlenty, Huckabee, Barbour and the rest of the gang are saving up their money for the later primaries with a view to spending big for the fall campaign. Remember John McCain in 2007? He started so early that he went bankrupt just before New Hampshire and only stayed in the race after he won the primary race and bagged a whole load of cash as a result to stay afloat.
The GOP, I believe are playing it smart. The bottom line is beating Obama in 2012 not beating everyone silly in the primary and being dead on arrival at the start of the presidential campaign.
What Barack Obama may have to take into consideration is a certain Hillary Rodham Clinton.
I believe still covets his job like a druggie needing his next fix. Remember that Hillary was always the ‘next in line’. It was always going to be her in 2008, until Obama came in and grabbed it away from her.
I think she still has the ambition to be President. I don't think that you just lose that ambition overnight. Yes she is the Secretary of State, but she is actually doing that to stay active and in the minds of the electorate.
Once the GOP field starts to narrow and it becomes clearer as to who they will nominate, you will see Obama’s poll numbers dramatically dipping as there will be a clear compare and contrast; this will force Hillary to join the game in the summer and mount a primary challenge to Obama.
If the GOP gets the White House in 2012 it could be as dramatic as Ronald Wilson Reagan in the 1980's. The Democrats didn't get the Presidency back until 1992 with Bill Clinton, a whole 12 years later!
I believe that Hillary desperately wants another nibble of that cookie and will do whatever it takes to get it.
Watch this space folks.....